Denver Real Estate Blog

Denver Lights

by Larry D. McGee, Denver Realtor on January 6, 2009

Denver Night Cranes

Denver Night Cranes

This wonderful picture was taken by Kristal Kraft at dusk on January 6, 2009 from the Interstate 25 pedestrian bridge at 20th Avenue looking east. The very cool thing are the 6 construction cranes visible in this photo, 6 of the dozen at work making Denver an even better place to be.  If you are wondering about how the “recession” is affecting Denver, well, not as bad as other places.  Downtown is about as vibrant city center as any outside of New York or Chicago, home to 10,000 residents, and 20,000 to 50,000  nightly visitors.  This particular night, the Avalanche is playing at the Pepsi Center, just to the right out of the picture.  The hockey game is sold out, so there were 15,000 fans present when the puck dropped, many of whom rode the light rail in from outlying areas.  There are a few thousand enjoying the theater at the Denver Performing Arts Complex, a slow night, as all ten venues will be active during the upcoming weekend, hosting 8,000 people for The Color Purple, or the Colorado Symphony, or, well, you get the idea.  Many of the Avalanche fans enjoyed dinner at one of a 100 restaurants within easy walking distance of the Pepsi Center.

It is a pretty city, looking east from I-25.  Of course, a half turn to the west and the viewer is looking at the the majestic Front Range of the Rocky Mountains. Just 90 minutes from Downtown Denver is the best skiing in the world at Keystone or Breckenridge.  Yep, a pretty nice picture of a really wonderful place to live, work and play, right in the middle of some of the best fun and scenery to be found anywhere.

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The Senator Appointment Game

by Larry D. McGee, Denver Realtor on January 3, 2009

Work of the United States Senate, Credited to ...
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Well, at least the appointment game here in Colorado.  Many folks are wondering why the Gov. (Ritter) would appoint the Denver School Supt., Michael Bennet, to the soon to vacated U.S. Senate seat currently occupied by Ken “Cowboy”  Salazar.  It is actually not that hard to figure out. By appointing a non-elected official with a high local profile, the Gov. does not create any any enemies in the elected power group that wanted the job, and leaves the elected power structure intact. Whether or not any of that group would or would not make a good Senator becomes an issue for later, and it avoids the Gov. having to make any further appointments. It was, in a word, safe.

If Bennet does well, and creates a winning campaign for election to the seat, then more power to him. If not, he will face a primary challenge from Hickenlooper or Perlmutter or whoever is at the top of the political food chain in a year. Either way, it avoids creating conflict in the Colorado Democratic Party, at least for now, and allows the Gov. to continue being a non-controversial, if mediocre, Gov.

On the the other hand, being non-controversial is not necessarily bad. Considering the current mess in Illinois, Colorado at least has a safe, if boring, appointment event.  And no appointed Senator is  going to accomplish much in a 2 year stint in D.C., no matter the stature of the appointed.

Gee, I am tired of politics capturing my attention.  Let’s get back to work.

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Renewable Energy

by Larry D. McGee, Denver Realtor on December 19, 2008

As part of my never ending effort to stay aware of the world around me, this week I attended a Renewable Energy presentation offered by XCEL Energy.  Allow me to list a few presented facts:

  • 11% of the energy sold by XCEL Energy today is renewable
  • XCEL’s year 2020 goal is to sell 29% of or their energy product from renewable sources
  • There will continue to be increasing state and Federal mandates on implementation of renewable energy.
  • Everyone should become familiar with the terms “LEED“, “REC“,and “Green-E
  • The average American home uses 1000 Kilowatt Hours of electricity per month
  • Coal and Gas powered electricity plants expend between 2 and 5 cents to generate a Kilowatt Hour (kWh) of Electric Energy
  • “Big Wind” (turbine farms) expend 3 to 9 cents to generate a kWh of electric energy.
  • “Small Wind” (single user) expend 12 to 25 cents per kWh.
  • Solar energy costs vary between 20 and 30 cents per kWh
  • The National Renewable Energy Laboratory, located in Golden, Colorado, is conducting research in many ways to generate energy
  • Current practical applications being pursued include “wind to hydrogen conversion”, “wind to battery”, and “distributed home generated power”.
  • Colorado ranks #5 in solar power capacity
  • There is an 8.2 Megawatt (MW) solar facility operating in Alamosa, Colorado; current XCEL requests for proposal’s (RFP’s) to build solar generating facilities are set to produce 75 MW of power, with potential RFP’s slated for an additional 300 MW’s of power.
  • The solar generating facility recently installed at Denver International Airport has a 2 MW capacity.
  • In the United States today there are 71,000 customers using purchased wind energy, and over 1000 business customer’s.
  • A New Mexico company, Hyperion Generation, has a 5 year plan to market a small nuclear power plant (the size of a storage shed or hot tub)  that will generate 25 MW of electric power, or enough for 20,000 American homes and related infrastructure.

The “green collar” jobs that will have to be created in order to move the United States away from the use of coal and oil energy use will tax our available labor pool in 5 to 10 years.  Colorado and the Denver area are well suited to capture an increasing share of business’s that will provide the facilities and infrastructure for renewable energy.

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Thrive

by Larry D. McGee, Denver Realtor on December 5, 2008

Over the past month I have had long private conversations with the associates in my brokerage, and many others outside my company. I continue meeting and speaking with Realtors in the Denver market, but following are what I believe are the consistent themes of those conversations:

  1. All of you are questioning at some level the market and your relationship to that market, the real estate business and the long term health of your business.
  2. Most of you are struggling at least a bit, and you feel alone.
  3. The looming changes forecast for the structure of the industry is both shocking and a bit frightening, but most professionals understand the need and are managing the change
  4. Most everyone feels a bit isolated.
  5. Everyone is getting push back from their consumer base when discussing real estate.

So here are my suggestions on meeting the market head on and thriving next year:

A. The local Denver market segment priced under $200K has become a seller’s market. As the nation recovers from a systemic shock to the entire economy, the most functional real estate market will be at the lower price range. That will be properties that are purchased by investors for rehab and flip, the flip to first time buyers, and private sellers with enough protected equity to price to compete for a sale to that first time buyer. If, which may very well happen, there is a federal program established to mandate a 4.5% mortgage interest rate, we will see a healthier market from 200 to 400 locally, but jumbo funds will not return at a convenience level until the overall credit markets recover.

B. You are not alone. If you feel that way, call 1, 2 or 3 of your compatriots and have a meet up. At The Berkshire Group, we are having weekly meetings on marketing, dialog, and solutions and investor programs, with more such gatherings to come. These meetings are associate, not management inspired.

C. Much of the real estate industry is discussing or acting on “no office” operating models. The discussion is no longer about the purpose and need for office space, the discussion is turning to company culture, purpose and value delivery.

D. That feeling of isolation. Read and act on “B” above.

E. Sign up and read Inman News. There is at least one topic a day that is of interest to the consumer that owns a home or wants to buy one. Take that topic and share it with 5 people in your consumer base. That means you will have to call on the phone, knock on a door, text message, or in some way initiate a 2-way conversation with a possible buyer, seller, or referral source 5 times every day.

I am off now to call 5 people. There were some interesting things on today’s Inman News to chat about.

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The Marketing of Barack Obama - Part 2

by Larry D. McGee, Denver Realtor on November 29, 2008

One of the most amazing things about Barack Obama’s political career is just how short that career is. First elected to the Illinois Senate in 1996, he managed not to engage in controversial issues, or at least not very many. He lost a run for United States Congress in 2000, but started campaigning for the United States Senate in July of 2002 and by early 2004 he was competing against 6 other Democrats in pursuit of the not yet vacant seat in the United States Senate. It is important to note that the incumbent Republican, and the most likely Democratic candidate both declined to run, leaving the way open for a contentious primary. Then, his strongest competitor caught a case of domestic abuse, and Mr. Obama found himself the winner of the Democratic primary. The leading Republican was later forced to drop out, continuing the dirty domestic life theme; after which the state Republican Central Committee brought in a ringer from another state to do battle with the Democratic candidate. That was a Republican misstep, and Barack was elected to the United States Senate with 70% of the votes.

So what can we take from this admittedly thumb-nail sketch of Barack Obama’s Senate campaign? The first really important thing is that he did not quit. Defeated in 2000, he was organizing a run for the Senate just 2 years later. Seems simple enough, just don’t quit. He also found some really good help, hiring David Axelrod to organize his campaign for the Senate. Most Realtors® have heard this before, but it bears repeating here, hire really good help. And it is important to note that Barack began organizing his campaign long before he knew for certain that the office would be open; so, start running your race before there are others running. Many a race is won by preempting the competition.

Make sure you have allies, even in a sales business. Naively ignoring relationship building (networking) because it feels like an imposition or is playing politics does not a career make.

Barack Obama is a world class orator; most Realtors® avoid scripts and dialogs. Those people that paid attention to Mr. Obama’s speeches early on realized that he was better with a script than off the cuff, but he improved toward the end because he became familiar with the many various scripts. Projecting authoritative dialogs on demand is a key for success in any people oriented experience like politics or sales. Consider how many votes were likely cast because Barack Obama sounded good. It worked for him, it will work for you. Practice your dialogs1

And, the most important marketing lesson learned so far is – do not be concerned with competition. We are all competing, all of the time, so get on with it. Prepare well, attend to your image, know what to say, and ask often for what you want. It worked for the President-elect; it will probably work for you.

There is a certain consensus that Barack Obama started running for the Presidency as soon as he arrived in Washington. Delivering the keynote speech at the Democratic Convention certainly helped his positioning, and the most obvious Democratic candidate did not enjoy universal popularity. There was no clear front runner for the Republican nomination, and, although the sitting President was suffering a decline in prestige, the national economy was still upright. The lesson to be learned is that chance favors the prepared mind. Making sure you are ready before an opportunity is better than trying to prepare as opportunity is passing by. So, in sales, practice your presentations, be familiar with your market, stay ahead with your training, and don’t get caught with an empty tank. Luck, timing, and circumstance plays a role in all human endeavors, however, if one is not prepared for the favorable circumstance, then one loses the opportunity.

The nitty-gritty of an election is money. Fund raising is critically important to the success of a political campaign. Without accepting any Federal money, Barack Obama’s campaign collected over a quarter of a billion dollars to finance his campaign. How did that happen? The answer is Silicon Valley and the employment of sales networking systems. For the whole story, go to www.theatlantic.com/doc/200806/obama-finance , but for our purposes it is enough to know that incremental donations from an enormous group of donors made the big difference, using systems geared for widespread contact and relentless repetition. And, for reasons of ignorance or arrogance, Hillary Clinton simply did not embrace the techie fund raising method, or the tech entrepreneurs that drove the tech bus. Mr. Obama’s youthful advisor’s quickly connected with the moneyed tech folks in Northern California, and the money started rolling in.

You say you are not in fund raising? Duh! How about raising funds for you, a most noble cause indeed? Are you really tech capable? Most Realtors® still have the five page static website they paid someone to throw on the web in 2002. If you are reading this, your tech skills are most likely ahead of the pack, but are you really making money from your efforts? If not, consider why not, and determine what you must do to have people jumping on board your bandwagon, begging you to help them buy or sell real estate.

With the campaigns early link of fund raising and marketing technology, it was a short step to social media. Most of the early tech donors were social media junkies, already communicating on Facebook or Linked-in. Mr. Obama’s experience as a community organizer helped him see quickly the obvious advantage of accessing the on-line community. The Obama campaign gathered many of the very developers of the new media revolution and put them to work providing everything from ring tones to site widgets. Text messaging, Twitter, www.My.BarackObama.com , listserv’s, and affinity groups, everything new media had to offer was put to work in the campaign.

So, how about you? Blog lately? Are you Linked-in? How many people follow you on Twitter? Just as the then new media of television helped John Kennedy win the White House in 1960, Barack Obama employed the new media of social networking to electrify his supporters and virally recruit new ones, while at the same time inviting a flood of money to support the effort.

So there you have it. Simple really, especially in hindsight. To be successful in marketing you must prepare well, network with like minded people, have a plan, engage good help, and take advantage of the latest technology to broaden your opportunity.

Oh, one more thing, you must want to succeed. It is said that Mr. Obama is ambitious. As long as his moral compass is on an even keel, I have no problem with ambition. If you do not have a burning desire to succeed, it is very difficult to do so.

The will to succeed trumps all else.

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