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denver

Downtown “Demver” the Night Before

by Larry D. McGee, Denver Realtor on August 23, 2008

I took one last look at downtown “Demver” today…well, actually two last looks-one in the late morning accompanied by Janet Marlow, TBG’s VP in charge of everything and a second late afternoon trip with wife and business partner Kristal Kraft. The first trip was billed as a property search tour, with DNC rubbernecking thrown in. The second trip was rubbernecking on steroids, with Kristal’s ever present camera clicking away the whole time. Surprised we did not get detained by any one of a couple hundred cops on the beat for overzealous shutter clicking. Both trips featured an overwhelming police presence. COPS on every corner, dozens of COPS on bikes, cops on Harleys, SWAT team cops hanging on the foot racks of a Ford Expedition, COPS in black Chevy Tahoe Hybrids with way cool DNC license plates, COPS in cleverly disguised unmarked cars, COPS on horses, a whole squad of COPS dressed in riot gear with blue plastic handcuffs dangling-COPS from Aurora, Commerce City, Brighton, Boulder-I am sure everyone is in the act. As an ex-COP, I was impressed-a bunch.

Colorado Convention Center

Colorado Convention Center

Security is silly tight. Fences and concrete barricades, bomb smelling dogs, massive dump trucks barricading gates to the Pepsi Center, RTD buses stashed close by with COPS and Sheriff’s Deputies as escorts( to carry violent demonstrators off to the warehouse pokey). Plainly visible to anyone looking are Secret Service and F.B.I. Agents, and lest we forget, Colorado Highway Patrol Troopers and military and police helicopters circling above.

As we drove home, we passed by a hotel located close to our Lone Tree home (the southern boonies 20 miles from the convention). Spotted local Sheriff Deputies just hanging around watching the limos and folks with “creds” hanging around their neck. Get it yet? Metro Denver is SECURE!!

While I certainly understand the supposed need for this massive outbreak of protection, I question why the need for the whole event, considering it is really just a christening party. And if you think my concern is directed only at the Dems, I have the same thoughts regarding the Republican party in Minneapolis. OK, there is an upside. Denver (and Minny) get fantastic world wide media attention. Assuming that the “Wackos” don’t crawl out of the dark places and spoil the party, Denver will certainly profit from this exposure. The weather is supposed to be good to great, the world will note that there is no snow on the ground, building cranes announce prosperity everywhere, light rail hums along, and there are no visible “street people”. “Demver” has worked very hard to put it’s best foot forward, and doubly hard to make sure no one steps on that foot. I hope the party is great, everyone goes away happy, no one gets hurt, the “street people enjoy the movies, (where did you think they went?), and the clean-up is quick.

My best wishes to the thousands of police and security people. Here’s hoping your worst problem is helping a lost Democrat find their hotel.

Written by Larry D. McGee, Denver Realtor - Visit Website Sphere: Related Content

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Who’s Buying the Foreclosures?

by Larry D. McGee, Denver Realtor on August 17, 2008

The Denver Post ran an interesting feature article on Sunday, August 17. The feature with the byline of Margaret Jackson, discussed just what kind of buyer was snapping up the low priced foreclosures in Metro Denver. Turns out it is real estate investors, not the fix-and-flip bunch, but the serious folk that buy for long term hold. I have had extensive conversations with Margaret over the past year concerning the impending onset of this good news phenomenon, and I am most pleased that she wrote a well researched piece on this subject. The fact that long term hold investors are buying cheap is a strong indication that they expect to sell high. All of those unfortunate families that have lost out to foreclosure have to live somewhere, and after living in a house, it’s tough to go back to an apartment. The fantastic thing is, these properties are cash flowing. How can that be?

Well, it is actually pretty easy. The various financial institutions that have been foreclosing on homes find themselves with a bit of an excess of inventory. This excess of inventory is forcing values down to a point that it makes sense for the investor to buy such properties and rent them to people that have lost out to foreclosure. Investors are buying with cash, or making considerable down payments to obtain acceptable financing.

It is the market at work (albeit the bloody side of the market), with a little help from various levels of government. And a caution, before everyone rushes out to cash in on foreclosures, this is a long term investment strategy, probably 4-5 years. Those savvy investors who buy cheap and rent the houses for 4 years or so will fix an improve as necessary, and sell into a much busier market down the road.

This is an exceedingly complicated story that will take many blogs to fully explain, so stay tuned. In the meantime, thanks Margaret. Investors buying for long term hold is great news for the Denver area market.

Written by Larry D. McGee, Denver Realtor - Visit Website Sphere: Related Content

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2008 Denver Parade Of Homes

by Charles Ward on August 15, 2008

The 2008 HBA Denver Parade of Homes is in full swing and being hosted by Solterra a Carma Community located in Lakewood, CO. The community which is set to include approximately 1,400 residences is modeled after European hillside villages. The natural landscape fits the theme well and highlights the amazing views.

As with any showcase there are certain trends that jump out & make you take notice. Texture was the reoccurring theme this year. Everywhere you look & touch a new texture, some more familiar then others. Hand trowel walls were the norm with quite a bit of Venetian plaster as well. One home even featured natural straw as a wall texture. You may have seen granite but how about honed and leather finishes? Distressed wood and patterned carpet ruled when it came to floors. And of course that’s just on the inside. Stucco, stone and brick were on all of the exteriors in very rustic weathered styles and color.

I encourage you to take some time and tour for yourself you too may find that while many of the materials look familiar they sure don’t feel the same!

Written by Charles Ward - Visit Website Sphere: Related Content

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Still Stormy

by Larry D. McGee, Denver Realtor on August 15, 2008

Most people seeing a tornado for the first tend to stand still and stare at the awesome power of nature.

Real Estate's Perfect Storm

Real Estate's Perfect Storm

Something like a deer caught in the headlights of an oncoming car. The second time most people see a tornado, they run for shelter, because they remember the mess made from their first experience. In Colorado, it’s been 20 years since the real estate industry weathered a difficult market. Most people in the industry today, Realtors, lenders and title insurers all are still staring at the market like a deer in the headlights. Those of us that have that second time around experience need to lead the industry forward.It’s time to move on. It is too late to seek shelter, and it really is time to get moving again. While the capital markets are still recovering and mortgage loans are certainly not easy, they are not impossible either. The FHA is now heavily funded, so Realtors should find a lender that gets FHA, and start selling houses using FHA financing. The entire industry needs to get on the phone and start talking to people about buying. It’s hard work, fraught with rejection and MUST be done. NOW! Smile, get your attitude arranged, get over that hang-dog look, and get to work. To the frightened and lethargic public reader of this blog, if you need a home, go buy one. The reasons to buy a home are still the same as they always were: security, empowerment,a hedge against inflation (not an ATM machine), a secure place to raise a family, and a tax shelter.

I did a quick survey of a thousand homes purchased in July in the Denver area with a sold price between $100,000 and $200,000. 14% were purchased using cash. ( I expanded an earlier effort of 100 homes.) I believe it is reasonable to assume that the cash buyer in that price range in the Denver market place is an investor; buying low with an expectation of selling high for a sizable profit in 3 to 5 years. If savvy investors get it, why isn’t it true for the average Joe that needs a home?

With home builders on the sidelines for the near future, the previously owned home inventory will begin to appreciate in value as competition enters the market. Even today, many bank owned homes in good condition are receiving multiple offers.

Today, in the United States, there are over a million Realtors. If each Realtor begins a relentless effort to show potential buyers how to buy now and win, we can change the attitude and move the economy forward.

Or, we can stand still watching the oncoming tornado (or headlights) and get run over. Seems like simple choice.

Read more on this topic:

Housing’s Perfect Storm (part 1)

The Upside of a Foreclosure Market

Written by Larry D. McGee, Denver Realtor - Visit Website Sphere: Related Content

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Dropping Out of the Negative

by Larry D. McGee, Denver Realtor on August 11, 2008

I am dropping out. Out of the negative. Tuning in to the positive. Turning on to the idea that the media is not where I want to be.

With apologies to the 1970’s counter culture, I have dropped out of the media quote game. Just like many other people, I like to see my name in the newspaper, and have enjoyed seeing my name in lights many times lately. But stroking my ego is not helping me, my company, the market, or the consumer. I know the local Denver dailies will miss me (not) but there are plenty of other industry professionals that will continue to damage their own business and the market by feeding the media lots of great info that will be printed as negative. Good luck to all.

Please understand that I do not have rose colored glasses. The national economy is hurting, and housing/lending practices are a big piece of why that is true. Residential home sales values have declined 13% since late 2005. Capital market losses are large, and when the dust settles, we may find out just how much capital disappeared.

So having acknowledged the obvious, let us move on. The United States today is a consumer economy. Simplistically, that means the economy functions well if all of us have money and are spending it. Today all of us have less money for a variety of reasons well documented in the media, and therefore we are spending less money. But are things really that bad? I think not, so please consider:

The gross domestic product (GDP) in the second quarter of 2008 was $14,256,500,000 That is up $144,000,000 from the first quarter of 2008. In spite of the negative press, we are still making scads of money. And we are still the largest economy in the world, by a bunch. There has not been a decline in present dollar GDP since WWII.

69.1% of Americans owned homes in the first quarter of 2005. That was the highest percentage of American home owners on record.

68.1% of Americans owned homes at the end of the second quarter of 2008. That is a loss of just ONE PERCENT!

The 1% loss of consumer ownership did not mean a loss of the homes. It just means the ownership of those homes was transferred. To Banks. Or, more specifically, to the Real Estate Owned (REO) Departments of various financial asset organizations. The REO’s will sell those homes (with a reduction in value, or loss of capital) to investors and new homes owners.

According to Realty Trac, which keeps up with these things, 99% of American homes are NOT in foreclosure. They choose not to say it that way, but 99% not having a problem sounds a bit more positive than focusing on the negative.

Home owners that do not need or have to sell at his time are not affected by any losses in value. Losses are realized at time of sale. And some markets across the country are having value increases.

Hang on people, the market will recover.

Written by Larry D. McGee, Denver Realtor - Visit Website Sphere: Related Content

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