In response to today’s column by Al Lewis in the Denver Post, I’ve responded with the following:
I read your column in the blog. Thank you for not treating my comments negatively. I am curious about your headline “Desperation” and your thoughts about it always being a good time to buy. Consider that (1) the NAR should always say it’s a good time to buy. The NAR is in fact a trade association representing 1.35 million people that make their livelihood from selling real estate. (2) Property values have increased an average of 6% each year since WWII. That does not mean every year, but that steady increase has made not a few fortunes. (3) Real estate is a long term hold, and while it is true that a high risk buyer can make money by short term ownership (so called flips or timed buys), the real money is made by paying off a mortgage over time, either as an investment with someone else making the payment, or by adapting the mind set that a house is a home, and should not be looked upon as a convenience purchase. I suspect that many of the people buying homes today really do not understand long term hold, especially considering the instant gratification mentality that is prevalent today.
Many people with good cash positions are buying real estate today, and mortgage money is very available for those that are qualified.
In conversation someone mentioned to me that they are losing equity by the minute on their home. I respectfully disagree. Any loss is imaginary unless an owner must sell at a time when the market has positioned their property at a price less than the original purchase price. Not considering expenses of sale and inflation, if someone paid $300,000 for their home and can sell it today for $350,000, they booked a gain. If they paid $300,000 and must sell today for $250,000, they show a loss. While the present value of a house may fluctuate over time of ownership, it only matters at the time of sale. So unless an owner needs to sell the home today at a loss, it does not matter. And, based on 60 years of history, most real estate will recover any losses in time.
Consider also that real estate values are very local and situational. One of my associates clients has twice this week been unable to come to terms on separate contracts offered because they were out-bid by other buyers. Some parts of the Metro Denver market are doing well, while others are definitely suffering, and certain homes sell quickly at a good price because they are desirable in condition and location.
Many home buyers over the past 3-4 years purchased homes using poorly conceived mortgage instruments that made it possible to secure a loan at teaser interest rates, and because of 100% financing, there was no commitment on the part of the buyer. Many of those people failed to understand or appreciate the inevitable increase in the payment rate, and few people read the rather large print that often imposed a prepayment penalty.
Lots of folks should accept responsibility for this current home value crisis. We should point the Flying Fickle Finger of Fate at sophisticated Wall Street investors that offered easy money mortgage loans to legions of unsophisticated first time home buyers, a glut of home building fueled by national home builders that were more concerned about their stock prices than the primary purpose of their business, retail mortgage lenders that sold quite a few of their clients down the river rather than providing proper counsel, some Realtors that sold homes knowing their client was poorly prepared for home ownership, the media for sensationalizing the opportunities to make big bucks in real estate, and not a small number of crooks and charlatans that lied to and cheated the unsuspecting consumer.
The fact is that real property is a market, subject to the foibles and intellect of those that engage in any market. While it is of little consolation to people that are losing their homes to foreclosure, one should remember that lots of nice folks lost big bucks in the Enron collapse. Those dollars were lost because people trusted other people, and there will always be a market for misplaced trust and a lack of understanding.

Written by Larry D. McGee, Denver Realtor -
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